Will WP become the real 1% in 4 years?

The mobile operating system market has always been firmly occupied by iOS and Android. Although Microsoft's WP platform is nominally the third in market share, the gap with the first two is too large. Therefore, WP users are often ridiculed as 1% users.

In fact, the reality is not as shabby as imagined. Net Applications provides new figures showing that Windows Phone's current market share is 2.57%, just slightly lower than the famous 3%. Statistics also show that Android is still the leading mobile platform in the world, with a market share of 59.65%, followed by iOS, with a market share of 32.28%.

So, when will WP become the real 1%?

Perhaps the answer is 4 years. Statistics agency IDC predicts that Windows Phone's share will collapse to 0.9% in 2020, which means that in about 4 years, Microsoft's market share will reach or fall below 1%. However, there is no consensus on the current market share of Microsoft Windows Phone. As mentioned earlier, Net Applications provides new figures that Windows Phone's current market share is 2.57%, while Gartner's statistics believe that Windows Phone's market share in January this year was only 1.1%, and IDC believes that this figure is 1.6%.

In short, although different companies have different views on the figures, the future market outlook for Microsoft Windows Phone is not optimistic. In IDC's forecast, Android will be the fastest growing platform in the coming year, from 82.6% in 2016 to 84.6% in 2020. In other words, consumers will buy 1.6 billion Android devices in the next four years.

Microsoft has always claimed that it will bring a better experience to the WP platform, but the reality is not good. Not long ago, Microsoft announced that the "Astoria" Android application porting project has been officially abandoned. If the change does not happen, perhaps the prophecy will come true.